Upgrade to Pro
— share decks privately, control downloads, hide ads and more …
Speaker Deck
Features
Speaker Deck
PRO
Sign in
Sign up for free
Search
Search
Strategic Mobilization: Why Proportional Representation Decreases Voter Mobilization.
Search
Carlisle Rainey
August 29, 2014
Research
0
410
Strategic Mobilization: Why Proportional Representation Decreases Voter Mobilization.
Carlisle Rainey
August 29, 2014
Tweet
Share
More Decks by Carlisle Rainey
See All by Carlisle Rainey
Topic Sampling @ SPSA 2024
carlislerainey
0
160
Topic Sampling
carlislerainey
1
330
ggcarly:theme_carly_presents()
carlislerainey
0
75
Unnecessary
carlislerainey
0
500
When BLUE Is Not Best: Non-Normal Errors and the Linear Model
carlislerainey
0
190
Dealing with Separation in Logistic Regression Models
carlislerainey
0
120
Logit Models in Small Samples
carlislerainey
0
100
When BLUE is Not Best
carlislerainey
0
430
Dealing with Separation in Logistic Regression Models
carlislerainey
0
440
Other Decks in Research
See All in Research
Alexander Mielke Hellinger--Kantorovich (a.k.a. Wasserstein-Fisher-Rao) Spaces and Gradient Flows
jjzhu
3
190
3D Human Mesh Estimationについていくつかまとめてみた / Survey about 3D Human Mesh Estimation
nttcom
0
230
SSII2023 医療支援における画像処理研究の動向と展望
moda0
0
110
Cross-Media Information Spaces and Architectures
signer
PRO
0
120
Evolutionary Optimization ofModel Merging Recipes (2024/04/17, NLPコロキウム)
iwiwi
9
3.3k
20240127_熊本から今いちど真面目に都市交通~めざせ「車1割削減、渋滞半減、公共交通2倍」~ 全国路面電車サミット2024宇都宮
trafficbrain
1
680
自己教師あり学習による事前学習(CVIMチュートリアル)
naok615
2
1.4k
Weekly AI Agents News!
masatoto
13
3.8k
Introduction of NII S. Koyama's Lab (AY2024)
skoyamalab
0
140
How to Perform Manual Classification for Deep Learning Using CloudCompare
kentaitakura
0
670
CVPR2023 EarthVision Workshopより衛星画像関連論文紹介 / Satellite Imaging Processing Papers in CVPR2023 EarthVision Workshop
nttcom
0
130
眠眠ガチャ:ガチャを活用した睡眠意欲向上アプリの開発 / EC71inui
yumulab
1
170
Featured
See All Featured
Embracing the Ebb and Flow
colly
80
4.2k
What the flash - Photography Introduction
edds
64
11k
Java REST API Framework Comparison - PWX 2021
mraible
PRO
18
6.9k
GraphQLの誤解/rethinking-graphql
sonatard
56
9.3k
Bootstrapping a Software Product
garrettdimon
PRO
302
110k
Faster Mobile Websites
deanohume
300
30k
Docker and Python
trallard
35
2.7k
KATA
mclloyd
16
12k
Fantastic passwords and where to find them - at NoRuKo
philnash
39
2.5k
Designing for humans not robots
tammielis
247
25k
Fashionably flexible responsive web design (full day workshop)
malarkey
398
65k
Refactoring Trust on Your Teams (GOTO; Chicago 2020)
rmw
26
2.3k
Transcript
Strategic Mobilization Why Disproportional Districts Encourage Partisan Mobilization Efforts Carlisle
Rainey! Assistant Professor University at Buffalo (SUNY)
[email protected]
@carlislerainey paper, data, and code at crain.co/stratmob
“With proportional representation from the nation as a whole or
from large electoral districts, parties have an incentive to mobilize everywhere. With single member districts some areas may be written off as hopeless.” –Powell (1982, p. 21)
incentive to mobilize everywhere proportional representation
incentive to mobilize everywhere proportional representation no any
None
None
None
None
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality Proportional Competitive Plurality !
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% Proportional Competitive Plurality !
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% Proportional 20% 20% Competitive Plurality !
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% Proportional 20% 20% Competitive Plurality 49% 0% !
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% Proportional 20% 20% Competitive Plurality 49% 0% !
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% Proportional 20% 20% Competitive Plurality 49% 0% !
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% Competitive Plurality 49% 0% !
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% Competitive Plurality 49% 0% !
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Competitive Plurality 49% 0% !
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Yes Competitive Plurality 49% 0% !
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Yes Competitive Plurality 49% 0% 51%
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Yes Competitive Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100%
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Yes Competitive Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100% Yes
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Yes Competitive Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100% Yes
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Yes Competitive Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100% Yes
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Competitive Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100%
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% 0% Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Competitive Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100%
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% 0% Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% 2% Competitive Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100%
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% 0% Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% 2% Competitive Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100% 100%
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% 0% Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% 2% Competitive Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100% 100%
District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share if
Mobilize Seat Share if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% 0% Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% 2% Competitive Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100% 100%
mobilization
electoral rules
competitiveness
data
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
incentive to mobilize everywhere proportional representation no any paper, data,
and code at crain.co/stratmob