Lock in $30 Savings on PRO—Offer Ends Soon! ⏳

Strategic Mobilization: Why Proportional Repres...

Avatar for Carlisle Rainey Carlisle Rainey
August 29, 2014
Research
0
460

Strategic Mobilization: Why Proportional Representation Decreases Voter Mobilization.

Avatar for Carlisle Rainey

Carlisle Rainey

August 29, 2014
Tweet

More Decks by Carlisle Rainey

See All by Carlisle Rainey
Topic Sampling @ SPSA 2024
Avatar for Carlisle Rainey carlislerainey
0
240
Topic Sampling
Avatar for Carlisle Rainey carlislerainey
1
460
ggcarly:theme_carly_presents()
Avatar for Carlisle Rainey carlislerainey
0
93
Unnecessary
Avatar for Carlisle Rainey carlislerainey
0
580
When BLUE Is Not Best: Non-Normal Errors and the Linear Model
Avatar for Carlisle Rainey carlislerainey
0
250
Dealing with Separation in Logistic Regression Models
Avatar for Carlisle Rainey carlislerainey
0
150
Logit Models in Small Samples
Avatar for Carlisle Rainey carlislerainey
0
120
When BLUE is Not Best
Avatar for Carlisle Rainey carlislerainey
0
470
Dealing with Separation in Logistic Regression Models
Avatar for Carlisle Rainey carlislerainey
0
530

Other Decks in Research

See All in Research
日本語新聞記事を用いた大規模言語モデルの暗記定量化 / LLMC2025
Avatar for Shotaro Ishihara upura
0
370
大規模言語モデルにおけるData-Centric AIと合成データの活用 / Data-Centric AI and Synthetic Data in Large Language Models
Avatar for tsurubee tsurubee
1
440
Time to Cash: The Full Stack Breakdown of Modern ATM Attacks
Avatar for D ratatata
0
170
令和最新技術で伝統掲示板を再構築: HonoX で作る型安全なスレッドフロート型掲示板 / かろっく@calloc134 - Hono Conference 2025
Avatar for calloc134 calloc134
0
440
LLM-jp-3 and beyond: Training Large Language Models
Avatar for Yusuke Oda odashi
1
710
世界の人気アプリ100個を分析して見えたペイウォール設計の心得
Avatar for Akihiro Kokubo akihiro_kokubo
PRO
63
35k
Sat2City:3D City Generation from A Single Satellite Image with Cascaded Latent Diffusion
Avatar for SatAI.challenge satai
4
340
データサイエンティストをめぐる環境の違い2025年版〈一般ビジネスパーソン調査の国際比較〉
Avatar for The Japan DataScientist Society datascientistsociety
PRO
0
280
EcoWikiRS: Learning Ecological Representation of Satellite Images from Weak Supervision with Species Observation and Wikipedia
Avatar for SatAI.challenge satai
3
430
AlphaEarth Foundations: An embedding field model for accurate and efficient global mapping from sparse label data
Avatar for SatAI.challenge satai
3
540
VectorLLM: Human-like Extraction of Structured Building Contours via Multimodal LLMs
Avatar for SatAI.challenge satai
4
510
Multi-Agent Large Language Models for Code Intelligence: Opportunities, Challenges, and Research Directions
Avatar for Fatemeh Fard (UBC) fatemeh_fard
0
110

Featured

See All Featured
We Have a Design System, Now What?
Avatar for Morgane Peng morganepeng
54
7.9k
Stop Working from a Prison Cell
Avatar for Chris Michel hatefulcrawdad
273
21k
Easily Structure & Communicate Ideas using Wireframe
Avatar for Afnizar Nur Ghifari afnizarnur
194
17k
Producing Creativity
Avatar for Steve Smith orderedlist
PRO
348
40k
JavaScript: Past, Present, and Future - NDC Porto 2020
Avatar for David Neal reverentgeek
52
5.8k
The Invisible Side of Design
Avatar for Vitaly Friedman smashingmag
302
51k
Site-Speed That Sticks
Avatar for Harry Roberts csswizardry
13
1k
Dealing with People You Can't Stand - Big Design 2015
Avatar for Cassini Nazir cassininazir
367
27k
Optimising Largest Contentful Paint
Avatar for Harry Roberts csswizardry
37
3.5k
Navigating Team Friction
Avatar for Lara Hogan lara
191
16k
実際に使うSQLの書き方 徹底解説 / pgcon21j-tutorial
Avatar for soudai sone soudai
PRO
196
70k
Performance Is Good for Brains [We Love Speed 2024]
Avatar for Tammy Everts tammyeverts
12
1.3k

Transcript

  1. Strategic Mobilization Why Disproportional Districts Encourage Partisan Mobilization Efforts Carlisle

    Rainey! Assistant Professor University at Buffalo (SUNY) [email protected] @carlislerainey paper, data, and code at crain.co/stratmob

  2. “With proportional representation from the nation as a whole or

    from large electoral districts, parties have an incentive to mobilize everywhere. With single member districts some areas may be written off as hopeless.” –Powell (1982, p. 21)

  3. incentive to mobilize everywhere proportional representation

  4. incentive to mobilize everywhere proportional representation no any

  5. None
  6. None
  7. None
  8. None

  9. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality Proportional Competitive
 Plurality !

  10. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% Proportional Competitive
 Plurality !

  11. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% Proportional 20% 20% Competitive
 Plurality !

  12. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% Proportional 20% 20% Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% !

  13. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% Proportional 20% 20% Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% !

  14. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% Proportional 20% 20% Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% !

  15. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% !

  16. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% !

  17. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% !

  18. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Yes Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% !

  19. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Yes Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% 51%

  20. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Yes Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100%

  21. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Yes Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100% Yes

  22. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Yes Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100% Yes

  23. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% No Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Yes Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100% Yes

  24. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100%

  25. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% 0% Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100%

  26. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% 0% Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% 2% Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100%

  27. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% 0% Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% 2% Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100% 100%

  28. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% 0% Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% 2% Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100% 100%

  29. District Current Vote Share Current Seat Share Vote Share
 if

    Mobilize Seat Share
 if Mobilize Gain Non-Competitive Plurality 20% 0% 22% 0% 0% Proportional 20% 20% 22% 22% 2% Competitive
 Plurality 49% 0% 51% 100% 100%

  30. mobilization

  31. electoral rules

  32. competitiveness

  33. data

  34. None
  35. None
  36. None
  37. None
  38. None
  39. None
  40. None

  41. incentive to mobilize everywhere proportional representation no any paper, data,

    and code at crain.co/stratmob