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Impossible Election for recall in Taiwan

Yuren Ju
October 30, 2016

Impossible Election for recall in Taiwan

Yuren Ju

October 30, 2016
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  1. Impossible Election for recall in Taiwan Appendectomy Project Yuren Ju

    https://docs.google.com/presentation/d/1zsUfYicpPuQk9SOvmBRWNxciX8HCUlmsg_5cZkqwO-s
  2. 12% of the last vote for the office e.g. needs

    12,352 signatures if last vote is 102,926 (Election for recall Paul Horcher, California State Assembly, 1995)
  3. Proposer in Taiwan > 2% people of registered voters e.g.

    if the recall selection against Paul Horcher happened in Taiwan, 3,581 proposer signatures is needed since registered voter in 1999 is 179,074
  4. 13% of registered voter for the office e.g. needs 23,280

    signatures when registered voters is 179,074[1] [1] Registered voter of Assembly District 60 in 1999
  5. Same situation in Taiwan vs California 776 signatures / per

    day in Taiwan 68 signatures / per day in California
  6. WTF

  7. Two challenges 1. Get 1,298 petition signatures everyday is impossible[1]

    2. vote rates > 50% and vote “Yes” > 50% is also impossible [1] petition signatures needs 38939.
  8. Two challenges 1. Get 1,298 petition signatures everyday is impossible

    2. vote rates > 50% and vote “Yes” > 50% is also impossible
  9. Vote rate of 2014 Mayoral election is 70% a lot

    of people will go to election stations for vote, why don’t we setup a booth nearby every election station?
  10. submit proposer signatures accept proposer signatures Only 30 days! submit

    petition signatures Mayoral election let’s get a lot of petition in this day!
  11. And we also need to set up booth for petition

    signatures in the day of Mayoral election
  12. What we need on 11/29 • for every booth: ◦

    signature boards x 2 ◦ table x 1 ◦ charis x 2 ◦ volunteers x 2 • There are 130 stations! • and these equipments will be only used in one day
  13. Two challenges 1. Get 1,298 petition signatures everyday is impossible

    2. vote rates > 50% and vote “Yes” > 50% is also impossible
  14. California vs Taiwan [1] the number is registered voters in

    1999, not 1995 since that is the oldest data I can found from CA government • Paul Horcher, Assembly, 1995 • Registered voters: 179,074[1] • Notice of Intention: <= 10 ppl • Petition: at least 12,352 ppl • Vote “Yes”: 35,860 (61.63%) • Vote “No”: 22,326 (38.37%) • Result: Success • 蔡正元, Legislator, 2015 • Registered voters: 317,434 • Proposer: 6,665 ppl • Petition: 49,949 ppl • Vote “Yes”: 76,737 (97.22%) • Vote “No”: 2,196 (2.78%) • Result: Failure
  15. Good news is the draft to fix law of election

    has been sent to Legislative Yuan :D