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医療情報処理と認知科学/MedicalAI_and_CognitiveBiases

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 医療情報処理と認知科学/MedicalAI_and_CognitiveBiases

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rinabouk PRO

May 12, 2022
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Transcript

  1. ਓͷࢥߟ΍ߦಈͷzΫηzͱҩྍ৘ใॲཧ ʔೝ஌Պֶ෼໺ͷٞ࿦Λྫʹʔ ஜ೾େֶҩֶҩྍܥ ҩྍ৘ใϚωδϝϯτֶ ߳઒ཨಸ ϓϥΠόγʔ౳ʹ഑ྀͯٞ͠࿦ʹࢧোͳ͍ൣғͰࡉ෦Λॻ͖׵͍͑ͯ·͢ɻ  ӫཆɾӡಈɾޱߢอ݈ɾٳཆͷࣗݾ؅ཧͷͨΊͷ อ݈ҩྍ৘ใݚڀձ

  2. ࠓ೔ͷ͓͸ͳ͠ ҩྍ৘ใॲཧͷ্ྲྀ޻ఔ PSԼྲྀ޻ఔʹ͸ɺඞͣͲ͔͜ʹ͸ ਓ͕͍ؒΔɻ ਓؒͷ஌ͷಛੑ͸ɺҩྍ৘ใॲཧͷ։ൃ΍ධՁʹӨڹΛ༩͑͏Δɻ ಛʹߴ࣍ͷೝ஌ʹண໨͠·͢ɻ ҩྍ৘ใॲཧ ؚɿ֤छඪ४Խࣄۀ

  3. ࠓ೔ͷ͓͸ͳ͠ ҩྍ৘ใॲཧͷ্ྲྀ޻ఔ PSԼྲྀ޻ఔʹ͸ɺඞͣͲ͔͜ʹ͸ ਓ͕͍ؒΔɻ ਓؒͷ஌ͷಛੑ͸ɺҩྍ৘ใॲཧͷ։ൃ΍ධՁʹӨڹΛ༩͑͏Δɻ ಛʹߴ࣍ͷೝ஌ʹண໨͠·͢ɻ ҩྍ৘ใॲཧ ؚɿ֤छඪ४Խࣄۀ

  4. ΋͘͡  ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ճ౴ཝͱू߹஌ φοδ WTϒʔετ  ٕज़։ൃ޻ఔ ΞϯΧϦϯάޮՌ 

    Լྲྀ޻ఔ SPVOEFEOVNCFSͱ QSFDJTFOVNCFS ৴པͰ͖Δ"* ͱ BMHPSJUINBWFSTJPO

  5. ΋͘͡  ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ճ౴ཝͱू߹஌ φοδ WTϒʔετ  ٕज़։ൃ޻ఔ ΞϯΧϦϯάޮՌ 

    Լྲྀ޻ఔ SPVOEFEOVNCFSͱ QSFDJTFOVNCFS ৴པͰ͖Δ"* ͱ BMHPSJUINBWFSTJPO

  6. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ εϚϗΞϓϦͰ͏ͭප༧ଌ͠Α͏ʂΛྫʹɻ ೔ʑͷੜ׆ϩά͔Βɺ͏ͭපൃ঱Λ༧ଌͰ͖ͨΒخ͍͠ɻ εϚϗΞϓϦʹ͠Α͏ɻσʔλऔΓ΍͍͢ɻ  ຖ೔ɺҎԼͷσʔλΛ஝ੵͯ͠ɺ όΠλϧ ΢ΣϥϒϧσόΠε͔ΒࣗಈͰσʔλ͕ඈͿ ؾ෼ͷམͪࠐΈ͕͋Γ·͔͢ʁ݇ଵײ͋Γ·͔͢ʁͷΑ͏ͳओ؍తͳ࣭໰

     ຖ೔ɺҎԼΛຊਓʹϑΟʔυόοΫ ͏ͭපʹͳΓͦ͏ͳఔ౓ Ͳ͏͍͏ੜ׆श׳͕ਪ঑͞ΕΔ͔ ମಈ͔ͨ͠ํ͕͍͍Αɺͱ͔

  7. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ͋ͳͨͳΒɺͲͷը໘ʹ͠·͔͢ʁͦͷཧ༝͸ʁ 1 0 5 ( ) 1 0

    5 ( ) 1 0 5 ( )

  8. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭͰճ౴͕มΘΔࣄྫ 1 600 .BUFKLB + (MVFDL . (SPTTNBO

    5 'JU[NBVSJDF (  .BZ 5IFFGGFDUPGWJTVBMBQQFBSBODFPOUIFQFSGPSNBODFPGDPOUJOVPVTTMJEFSTBOE WJTVBMBOBMPHVFTDBMFT*O 1SPDFFEJOHTPGUIF$)*$POGFSFODFPO)VNBO'BDUPSTJO$PNQVUJOH4ZTUFNT QQ 

  9. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭͰճ౴͕มΘΔࣄྫ 1 600 .BUFKLB + (MVFDL . (SPTTNBO

    5 'JU[NBVSJDF (  .BZ 5IFFGGFDUPGWJTVBMBQQFBSBODFPOUIFQFSGPSNBODFPGDPOUJOVPVTTMJEFSTBOE WJTVBMBOBMPHVFTDBMFT*O 1SPDFFEJOHTPGUIF$)*$POGFSFODFPO)VNBO'BDUPSTJO$PNQVUJOH4ZTUFNT QQ 

  10. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭͰճ౴͕มΘΔࣄྫ 1 600 .BUFKLB + (MVFDL . (SPTTNBO

    5 'JU[NBVSJDF (  .BZ 5IFFGGFDUPGWJTVBMBQQFBSBODFPOUIFQFSGPSNBODFPGDPOUJOVPVTTMJEFSTBOE WJTVBMBOBMPHVFTDBMFT*O 1SPDFFEJOHTPGUIF$)*$POGFSFODFPO)VNBO'BDUPSTJO$PNQVUJOH4ZTUFNT QQ  ճ౴͕ภΔ͜ͱ͸ɺຊ౰ʹΑ͘ͳ͍͜ͱͳͷͩΖ͏͔ʁ ճ౴ऩूͷ໨తʹΑͬͯ͸ɺภͬͯ΋ߏΘͳ͍͜ͱ͕͋ΔͷͰ͸ʁ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭ͸ɺσʔλ෼ੳͷΞ΢τϓοτʹӨڹ͢Δͷʁ

  11. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭͰճ౴͕มΘΔࣄྫ 1 600 .BUFKLB + (MVFDL . (SPTTNBO

    5 'JU[NBVSJDF (  .BZ 5IFFGGFDUPGWJTVBMBQQFBSBODFPOUIFQFSGPSNBODFPGDPOUJOVPVTTMJEFSTBOE WJTVBMBOBMPHVFTDBMFT*O 1SPDFFEJOHTPGUIF$)*$POGFSFODFPO)VNBO'BDUPSTJO$PNQVUJOH4ZTUFNT QQ  ճ౴͕ภΔ͜ͱ͸ɺຊ౰ʹΑ͘ͳ͍͜ͱͳͷͩΖ͏͔ʁ ճ౴ऩूͷ໨తʹΑͬͯ͸ɺภͬͯ΋ߏΘͳ͍͜ͱ͕͋ΔͷͰ͸ʁ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭ͸ɺσʔλ෼ੳͷΞ΢τϓοτʹӨڹ͢Δͷʁ ‑ ೖྗը໘ઃܭʹجͮ͘਺஋ೖྗͷภΓ͸ɺू߹஌ʹӨڹ͢Δ͔ʁ

  12. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭʹΑͬͯɺಘΒΕΔू߹஌͕มΘΔ <)POEB 4DJ3FQ> format130    

       in press

  13. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭʹΑͬͯɺಘΒΕΔू߹஌͕มΘΔ !"#$ AWOC(&#(") 1: #*  0: $

    )  % !"#$! ! = mean "#$#"%,%%% "#'#"% 1 − ∑ ! "# ) ! (%&) !# − , ∑ * !# . * ($') − , /- ≈ !( :  #$%&' (   )) : (#$%&')(,-: .: '* # ਺஋Ͱ͸ͳͯ͘εέʔϧͰ ճ౴ͯ͠΋Β͏ͱɺ গਓ਺͔ΒಘΔूஂͷਪఆ஋ ू߹஌ ͕ΑΓਖ਼֬ʹͳΔɻ <)POEB 4DJ3FQ> in press

  14. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ҩྍ৘ใॲཧ ͱ σʔλͷ࣭޲্ʹ͔͚Δίετ ͡Ό͋ɺಘΒΕΔσʔλͷ࣭ΛΑΓྑ͘͢ΔͨΊͷղܾࡦΛڭ͑ͯɻ ҩྍ৘ใॲཧͷಛ௃ʹ߹Θͤͯɻ

  15. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ҩྍ৘ใॲཧ ͱ σʔλͷ࣭޲্ʹ͔͚Δίετ ҩྍ৘ใॲཧͷಛ௃ͬͯɾɾɾ Ø ೔ৗͷྟচۀ຿ͷதͰ஝ੵ͞ΕΔΧϧςσʔλΛೋ࣍ར༻͢Δ কདྷͷଞਓͷ ݚڀͷͨΊʹɺྟচۀ຿ʹෛ୲Λ͔͚ͳ͍Ͱʂ

    Ø ࢢຽ͕ར༻͢ΔεϚϗΞϓϦͳͲ Ͱ஝ੵ͞ΕΔσʔλΛೋ࣍ར༻͢Δ ࢖͏ͨΊʹڭҭ΍܇࿅͕ඞཁͳΞϓϦ͸࢖ΘΕͳ͍ʂ Ø ػցֶश༻ͷେྔͷσʔλʹਖ਼ղΛ෇༩͢ΔͨΊʹେྔͷ࡞ۀऀ͕ඞཁ ࡉ΍͔ʹڭҭɾࢦಋ͸Ͱ͖ͳ͍ʂ ҩྍैࣄऀʹґཔ͢Ε͹ۉҰͳσʔλ͕ಘΒΕΔΘ͚Ͱ΋ͳ͍ʂ ίετΛ͔͚ͣʹɺਓ͕ΑΓྑ͍σʔλΛه࿥͢ΔͨΊͷհೖ͕༗ޮ ͋͘·ͰࢲݟͰ͢ ͡Ό͋ɺಘΒΕΔσʔλͷ࣭ΛΑΓྑ͘͢ΔͨΊͷղܾࡦΛڭ͑ͯɻ ҩྍ৘ใॲཧͷಛ௃ʹ߹Θͤͯɻ

  16. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ φοδ ͱ ϒʔετ ͡Ό͋ɺಘΒΕΔσʔλͷ࣭ΛΑΓྑ͘͢ΔͨΊͷղܾࡦΛڭ͑ͯɻ ͨͩ͠ɺίετΛ͔͚ͳ͍Ͱɻ https://www.hrk.de/fileadmin/redaktion/hrk/01-Bilder/01-03-Personen/01-03-01-HRK/Ralph_Hertwig_2018_HRK_Mannheim_Final_mw.pdf

  17. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ φοδ ͱ ϒʔετ ͡Ό͋ɺಘΒΕΔσʔλͷ࣭ΛΑΓྑ͘͢ΔͨΊͷղܾࡦΛڭ͑ͯɻ ͨͩ͠ɺίετΛ͔͚ͳ͍Ͱɻ https://www.hrk.de/fileadmin/redaktion/hrk/01-Bilder/01-03-Personen/01-03-01-HRK/Ralph_Hertwig_2018_HRK_Mannheim_Final_mw.pdf https://twitter.com/ScienceBoosting

  18. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ݶΓ͋ΔਓؒͷzೳྗzΛ࠷େݶҾ͖ग़͢ʹ͸ʁ Ø ਓؒͷೝ஌ࢿݯʹ͸ݶք͕͋Δ <> ೝ஌ࢿݯΛؤுͬͯ࢖͏ WTؤுΔͷ͸େม τϨʔυΦϑͰϐʔΫʹͳΔͱ͜Ζ͕͋Γͦ͏ʂ j[*E@

    <,BHBXB $PHTDJ ><,BHBXB 1TZ"SYJW > <>(SJGGJUIT 5- -JFEFS ' (PPENBO /%  3BUJPOBMVTFPGDPHOJUJWFSFTPVSDFT-FWFMTPG BOBMZTJTCFUXFFOUIFDPNQVUBUJPOBMBOEUIF BMHPSJUINJD 5PQJDTJODPHOJUJWFTDJFODF   

  19. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ػցֶश༻ͷਖ਼ղσʔλ࡞੒ऀΛϒʔετ͢Δ https://twitter.com/ScienceBoosting <,BHBXB $PHTDJ ><,BHBXB 1TZ"SYJW >

  20. ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ػցֶश༻ͷਖ਼ղσʔλ࡞੒ऀΛϒʔετ͢Δ ࢥߟ࣌ؒͷதԝ஋ΑΓ୹͍ఔ౓ɺ ճ౴Ͱ͖ͳ͍Α͏ʹ͢Δ͚ͩͰ ͏͔ͬΓϛε͕ݮΓɺ ਖ਼౴ͷظ଴஋্͕ঢ͢Δɻ <,BHBXB $PHTDJ ><,BHBXB

    1TZ"SYJW > 32 36 40 44 48 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 ਖ਼౴ͷظ଴஋ ճ౴Ͱ͖ͳ͍࣌ؒ ඵ

  21. ΋͘͡  ্ྲྀ޻ఔ ճ౴ཝͱू߹஌ φοδ WTϒʔετ  ٕज़։ൃ޻ఔ ΞϯΧϦϯάޮՌ 

    Լྲྀ޻ఔ SPVOEFEOVNCFSͱ QSFDJTFOVNCFS ৴པͰ͖Δ"* ͱ BMHPSJUINBWFSTJPO

  22. ٕज़։ൃ޻ఔ Ϟσϧͷ։ൃͱධՁ ։ൃ ධՁ IUUQTQMBZHSPVOEUFOTPSqPXPSH

  23. ٕज़։ൃ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ։ൃٕͨ͠ज़ͷਫ਼౓ධՁ ͜ͷ͏ͭප༧๷ΞϓϦΛ࢖͍͍ͨͱࢥ͍·͔͢ʁΛධՁͯ͠΋Β͏ XFCը໘্ͷΞϯέʔτ ධՁऀ਺͸Ͱ͖ΔݶΓଟ͘ ͋ͳͨͳΒͲͪΒͷը໘ʹ͠·͔͢ʁͦͷཧ༝͸ʁ ͜ͷ͏ͭප༧๷ΞϓϦΛ࢖͍͍ͨͱࢥ͍ ·͔͢ʁ ɿ࢖͍ͨ͘ͳ͍

    ʙ ɿ࢖͍͍ͨ ඪ४తͳճ౴͸Ͱ͢ɻ ղ౴ཝ ͜ͷ͏ͭප༧๷ΞϓϦΛ࢖͍͍ͨͱࢥ͍ ·͔͢ʁ ɿ࢖͍ͨ͘ͳ͍ ʙ ɿ࢖͍͍ͨ ղ౴ཝ

  24. ٕज़։ൃ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ධՁը໘ͷઃܭͰධՁ͕มΘΔ 4BOUIBOBN 4 ,BSEVOJ " 4IBJLI 4 

    "QSJM 4UVEZJOHUIFFGGFDUTPGDPHOJUJWFCJBTFTJOFWBMVBUJPOPGDPOWFSTBUJPOBMBHFOUT*O 1SPDFFEJOHTPGUIF $)*$POGFSFODFPO)VNBO'BDUPSTJO$PNQVUJOH4ZTUFNT QQ  )POPSBCMF.FOUJPO νϟοτϘοτͷಡΈ΍͢͞ΛධՁͯ͠΋Β͏ ʙ

  25. ٕज़։ൃ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ධՁը໘ͷઃܭͰධՁ͕มΘΔ 4BOUIBOBN 4 ,BSEVOJ " 4IBJLI 4 

    "QSJM 4UVEZJOHUIFFGGFDUTPGDPHOJUJWFCJBTFTJOFWBMVBUJPOPGDPOWFSTBUJPOBMBHFOUT*O 1SPDFFEJOHTPGUIF $)*$POGFSFODFPO)VNBO'BDUPSTJO$PNQVUJOH4ZTUFNT QQ  )POPSBCMF.FOUJPO νϟοτϘοτͷಡΈ΍͢͞ΛධՁͯ͠΋Β͏ ʙ

  26. ٕज़։ൃ޻ఔ ࣄྫ ΞϯΧϦϯάޮՌ 2ΑΓଟ͍ʁ ΑΓগͳ͍ 2͡Ό͍͋ͭ͘ʁ 80 2͍ͭ͘ʁ 60 60

    υοτ͸Կݸʁ

  27. ·ͱΊʹม͑ͯ ʁʁʁʮਓ͸ඞͣؒҧ͑Δɺͬͯ͜ͱͰ͠ΐʯ ü ਓ͸ɺؒҧ͑ͳͯ͘΋ɺΫηΛ͍࣋ͬͯΔɻ ʁʁʁʮೝ஌όΠΞεͬͯҩྍ҆શͷ͸ͳ͠Ͱ͠ΐʯ ü ҩྍ҆શͱ͸΄΅ ແԑͷΞϓϦέʔγϣϯ։ൃͰ͋ͬͯ΋ɺೝ஌όΠΞε ͱ͸ແԑͰ͸ͳ͍Մೳੑ͕͋Δɻ ʁʁʁʮػցͰܭଌͨ͠σʔλΛࣗಈసૹ͢Ε͹͍͍͚ͩͰ͠ΐʯ

    ü ਓ͕ೖྗͤ͟ΔΛಘͳ͍ओ؍త࣭తਓؒͷೝ஌ɾ஌͕֮ඞཁͳσʔλͷ ৔߹ɺࠓޙ΋ਓʹΑΔೖྗ͸ଓ͘ɻ ʁʁʁʮݴΘΕͳͯ͘΋ܦݧతʹ஌ͬͯΔɻશ෦Ճຯͯ͠࡞͖ͬͯͨɻʯ ü ϊ΢ϋ΢ʹᛙখԽ͢Δͷ͸΋͍ͬͨͳ͍ͷͰֶज़తʹ ڞ༗͍ͯͩ͘͠͞ɻ https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/4152100672, https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/4152100680, https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/0008308993

  28. ڞಉݚڀऀʹײँਃ্͛͠·͢ ڞಉݚڀऀͷઌੜํʹਂ͓͘ྱΛਃ্͛͠·͢ɻ ௥ख໳ֶӃେֶ ຊాलਔ͞Μ ന࠭େ͞Μ ຊൃදͷҰ෦͸+45ະདྷࣾձ૑଄ࣄۀɺ/&%0ɺՊݚඅͷࢧԉΛड͚͍ͯ·͢ɻ