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医療情報処理と認知科学/MedicalAI_and_CognitiveBiases
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rinabouk
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May 12, 2022
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医療情報処理と認知科学/MedicalAI_and_CognitiveBiases
rinabouk
PRO
May 12, 2022
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Transcript
ਓͷࢥߟߦಈͷzΫηzͱҩྍใॲཧ ʔೝՊֶͷٞΛྫʹʔ ஜେֶҩֶҩྍܥ ҩྍใϚωδϝϯτֶ ߳ཨಸ ϓϥΠόγʔʹྀͯٞ͠ʹࢧোͳ͍ൣғͰࡉ෦Λॻ͖͍͑ͯ·͢ɻ ӫཆɾӡಈɾޱߢอ݈ɾٳཆͷࣗݾཧͷͨΊͷ อ݈ҩྍใݚڀձ
ࠓͷ͓ͳ͠ ҩྍใॲཧͷ্ྲྀఔ PSԼྲྀఔʹɺඞͣͲ͔͜ʹ ਓ͕͍ؒΔɻ ਓؒͷͷಛੑɺҩྍใॲཧͷ։ൃධՁʹӨڹΛ༩͑͏Δɻ ಛʹߴ࣍ͷೝʹண͠·͢ɻ ҩྍใॲཧ ؚɿ֤छඪ४Խࣄۀ
ࠓͷ͓ͳ͠ ҩྍใॲཧͷ্ྲྀఔ PSԼྲྀఔʹɺඞͣͲ͔͜ʹ ਓ͕͍ؒΔɻ ਓؒͷͷಛੑɺҩྍใॲཧͷ։ൃධՁʹӨڹΛ༩͑͏Δɻ ಛʹߴ࣍ͷೝʹண͠·͢ɻ ҩྍใॲཧ ؚɿ֤छඪ४Խࣄۀ
͘͡ ্ྲྀఔ ճཝͱू߹ φοδ WTϒʔετ ٕज़։ൃఔ ΞϯΧϦϯάޮՌ
Լྲྀఔ SPVOEFEOVNCFSͱ QSFDJTFOVNCFS ৴པͰ͖Δ"* ͱ BMHPSJUINBWFSTJPO
͘͡ ্ྲྀఔ ճཝͱू߹ φοδ WTϒʔετ ٕज़։ൃఔ ΞϯΧϦϯάޮՌ
Լྲྀఔ SPVOEFEOVNCFSͱ QSFDJTFOVNCFS ৴པͰ͖Δ"* ͱ BMHPSJUINBWFSTJPO
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ εϚϗΞϓϦͰ͏ͭප༧ଌ͠Α͏ʂΛྫʹɻ ʑͷੜ׆ϩά͔Βɺ͏ͭපൃΛ༧ଌͰ͖ͨΒخ͍͠ɻ εϚϗΞϓϦʹ͠Α͏ɻσʔλऔΓ͍͢ɻ ຖɺҎԼͷσʔλΛੵͯ͠ɺ όΠλϧ ΣϥϒϧσόΠε͔ΒࣗಈͰσʔλ͕ඈͿ ؾͷམͪࠐΈ͕͋Γ·͔͢ʁ݇ଵײ͋Γ·͔͢ʁͷΑ͏ͳओ؍తͳ࣭
ຖɺҎԼΛຊਓʹϑΟʔυόοΫ ͏ͭපʹͳΓͦ͏ͳఔ Ͳ͏͍͏ੜ׆श׳͕ਪ͞ΕΔ͔ ମಈ͔ͨ͠ํ͕͍͍Αɺͱ͔
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ ͋ͳͨͳΒɺͲͷը໘ʹ͠·͔͢ʁͦͷཧ༝ʁ 1 0 5 ( ) 1 0
5 ( ) 1 0 5 ( )
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭͰճ͕มΘΔࣄྫ 1 600 .BUFKLB + (MVFDL . (SPTTNBO
5 'JU[NBVSJDF ( .BZ 5IFFGGFDUPGWJTVBMBQQFBSBODFPOUIFQFSGPSNBODFPGDPOUJOVPVTTMJEFSTBOE WJTVBMBOBMPHVFTDBMFT*O 1SPDFFEJOHTPGUIF$)*$POGFSFODFPO)VNBO'BDUPSTJO$PNQVUJOH4ZTUFNT QQ
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭͰճ͕มΘΔࣄྫ 1 600 .BUFKLB + (MVFDL . (SPTTNBO
5 'JU[NBVSJDF ( .BZ 5IFFGGFDUPGWJTVBMBQQFBSBODFPOUIFQFSGPSNBODFPGDPOUJOVPVTTMJEFSTBOE WJTVBMBOBMPHVFTDBMFT*O 1SPDFFEJOHTPGUIF$)*$POGFSFODFPO)VNBO'BDUPSTJO$PNQVUJOH4ZTUFNT QQ
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭͰճ͕มΘΔࣄྫ 1 600 .BUFKLB + (MVFDL . (SPTTNBO
5 'JU[NBVSJDF ( .BZ 5IFFGGFDUPGWJTVBMBQQFBSBODFPOUIFQFSGPSNBODFPGDPOUJOVPVTTMJEFSTBOE WJTVBMBOBMPHVFTDBMFT*O 1SPDFFEJOHTPGUIF$)*$POGFSFODFPO)VNBO'BDUPSTJO$PNQVUJOH4ZTUFNT QQ ճ͕ภΔ͜ͱɺຊʹΑ͘ͳ͍͜ͱͳͷͩΖ͏͔ʁ ճऩूͷతʹΑͬͯɺภͬͯߏΘͳ͍͜ͱ͕͋ΔͷͰʁ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭɺσʔλੳͷΞτϓοτʹӨڹ͢Δͷʁ
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭͰճ͕มΘΔࣄྫ 1 600 .BUFKLB + (MVFDL . (SPTTNBO
5 'JU[NBVSJDF ( .BZ 5IFFGGFDUPGWJTVBMBQQFBSBODFPOUIFQFSGPSNBODFPGDPOUJOVPVTTMJEFSTBOE WJTVBMBOBMPHVFTDBMFT*O 1SPDFFEJOHTPGUIF$)*$POGFSFODFPO)VNBO'BDUPSTJO$PNQVUJOH4ZTUFNT QQ ճ͕ภΔ͜ͱɺຊʹΑ͘ͳ͍͜ͱͳͷͩΖ͏͔ʁ ճऩूͷతʹΑͬͯɺภͬͯߏΘͳ͍͜ͱ͕͋ΔͷͰʁ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭɺσʔλੳͷΞτϓοτʹӨڹ͢Δͷʁ ‑ ೖྗը໘ઃܭʹجͮ͘ೖྗͷภΓɺू߹ʹӨڹ͢Δ͔ʁ
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭʹΑͬͯɺಘΒΕΔू߹͕มΘΔ <)POEB 4DJ3FQ> format130
in press
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ ೖྗը໘ͷઃܭʹΑͬͯɺಘΒΕΔू߹͕มΘΔ !"#$ AWOC(&#(") 1: #* 0: $
) % !"#$! ! = mean "#$#"%,%%% "#'#"% 1 − ∑ ! "# ) ! (%&) !# − , ∑ * !# . * ($') − , /- ≈ !( : #$%&' ( )) : (#$%&')(,-: .: '* # Ͱͳͯ͘εέʔϧͰ ճͯ͠Β͏ͱɺ গਓ͔ΒಘΔूஂͷਪఆ ू߹ ͕ΑΓਖ਼֬ʹͳΔɻ <)POEB 4DJ3FQ> in press
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ ҩྍใॲཧ ͱ σʔλͷ্࣭ʹ͔͚Δίετ ͡Ό͋ɺಘΒΕΔσʔλͷ࣭ΛΑΓྑ͘͢ΔͨΊͷղܾࡦΛڭ͑ͯɻ ҩྍใॲཧͷಛʹ߹Θͤͯɻ
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ ҩྍใॲཧ ͱ σʔλͷ্࣭ʹ͔͚Δίετ ҩྍใॲཧͷಛͬͯɾɾɾ Ø ৗͷྟচۀͷதͰੵ͞ΕΔΧϧςσʔλΛೋ࣍ར༻͢Δ কདྷͷଞਓͷ ݚڀͷͨΊʹɺྟচۀʹෛ୲Λ͔͚ͳ͍Ͱʂ
Ø ࢢຽ͕ར༻͢ΔεϚϗΞϓϦͳͲ Ͱੵ͞ΕΔσʔλΛೋ࣍ར༻͢Δ ͏ͨΊʹڭҭ܇࿅͕ඞཁͳΞϓϦΘΕͳ͍ʂ Ø ػցֶश༻ͷେྔͷσʔλʹਖ਼ղΛ༩͢ΔͨΊʹେྔͷ࡞ۀऀ͕ඞཁ ࡉ͔ʹڭҭɾࢦಋͰ͖ͳ͍ʂ ҩྍैࣄऀʹґཔ͢ΕۉҰͳσʔλ͕ಘΒΕΔΘ͚Ͱͳ͍ʂ ίετΛ͔͚ͣʹɺਓ͕ΑΓྑ͍σʔλΛه͢ΔͨΊͷհೖ͕༗ޮ ͋͘·ͰࢲݟͰ͢ ͡Ό͋ɺಘΒΕΔσʔλͷ࣭ΛΑΓྑ͘͢ΔͨΊͷղܾࡦΛڭ͑ͯɻ ҩྍใॲཧͷಛʹ߹Θͤͯɻ
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ φοδ ͱ ϒʔετ ͡Ό͋ɺಘΒΕΔσʔλͷ࣭ΛΑΓྑ͘͢ΔͨΊͷղܾࡦΛڭ͑ͯɻ ͨͩ͠ɺίετΛ͔͚ͳ͍Ͱɻ https://www.hrk.de/fileadmin/redaktion/hrk/01-Bilder/01-03-Personen/01-03-01-HRK/Ralph_Hertwig_2018_HRK_Mannheim_Final_mw.pdf
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ φοδ ͱ ϒʔετ ͡Ό͋ɺಘΒΕΔσʔλͷ࣭ΛΑΓྑ͘͢ΔͨΊͷղܾࡦΛڭ͑ͯɻ ͨͩ͠ɺίετΛ͔͚ͳ͍Ͱɻ https://www.hrk.de/fileadmin/redaktion/hrk/01-Bilder/01-03-Personen/01-03-01-HRK/Ralph_Hertwig_2018_HRK_Mannheim_Final_mw.pdf https://twitter.com/ScienceBoosting
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ ݶΓ͋ΔਓؒͷzೳྗzΛ࠷େݶҾ͖ग़͢ʹʁ Ø ਓؒͷೝࢿݯʹݶք͕͋Δ <> ೝࢿݯΛؤுͬͯ͏ WTؤுΔͷେม τϨʔυΦϑͰϐʔΫʹͳΔͱ͜Ζ͕͋Γͦ͏ʂ j[*E@
<,BHBXB $PHTDJ ><,BHBXB 1TZ"SYJW > <>(SJGGJUIT 5- -JFEFS ' (PPENBO /% 3BUJPOBMVTFPGDPHOJUJWFSFTPVSDFT-FWFMTPG BOBMZTJTCFUXFFOUIFDPNQVUBUJPOBMBOEUIF BMHPSJUINJD 5PQJDTJODPHOJUJWFTDJFODF
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ ػցֶश༻ͷਖ਼ղσʔλ࡞ऀΛϒʔετ͢Δ https://twitter.com/ScienceBoosting <,BHBXB $PHTDJ ><,BHBXB 1TZ"SYJW >
্ྲྀఔ ࣄྫ ػցֶश༻ͷਖ਼ղσʔλ࡞ऀΛϒʔετ͢Δ ࢥߟ࣌ؒͷதԝΑΓ͍ఔɺ ճͰ͖ͳ͍Α͏ʹ͢Δ͚ͩͰ ͏͔ͬΓϛε͕ݮΓɺ ਖ਼ͷظ্͕ঢ͢Δɻ <,BHBXB $PHTDJ ><,BHBXB
1TZ"SYJW > 32 36 40 44 48 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 ਖ਼ͷظ ճͰ͖ͳ͍࣌ؒ ඵ
͘͡ ্ྲྀఔ ճཝͱू߹ φοδ WTϒʔετ ٕज़։ൃఔ ΞϯΧϦϯάޮՌ
Լྲྀఔ SPVOEFEOVNCFSͱ QSFDJTFOVNCFS ৴པͰ͖Δ"* ͱ BMHPSJUINBWFSTJPO
ٕज़։ൃఔ Ϟσϧͷ։ൃͱධՁ ։ൃ ධՁ IUUQTQMBZHSPVOEUFOTPSqPXPSH
ٕज़։ൃఔ ࣄྫ ։ൃٕͨ͠ज़ͷਫ਼ධՁ ͜ͷ͏ͭප༧ΞϓϦΛ͍͍ͨͱࢥ͍·͔͢ʁΛධՁͯ͠Β͏ XFCը໘্ͷΞϯέʔτ ධՁऀͰ͖ΔݶΓଟ͘ ͋ͳͨͳΒͲͪΒͷը໘ʹ͠·͔͢ʁͦͷཧ༝ʁ ͜ͷ͏ͭප༧ΞϓϦΛ͍͍ͨͱࢥ͍ ·͔͢ʁ ɿ͍ͨ͘ͳ͍
ʙ ɿ͍͍ͨ ඪ४తͳճͰ͢ɻ ղཝ ͜ͷ͏ͭප༧ΞϓϦΛ͍͍ͨͱࢥ͍ ·͔͢ʁ ɿ͍ͨ͘ͳ͍ ʙ ɿ͍͍ͨ ղཝ
ٕज़։ൃఔ ࣄྫ ධՁը໘ͷઃܭͰධՁ͕มΘΔ 4BOUIBOBN 4 ,BSEVOJ " 4IBJLI 4
"QSJM 4UVEZJOHUIFFGGFDUTPGDPHOJUJWFCJBTFTJOFWBMVBUJPOPGDPOWFSTBUJPOBMBHFOUT*O 1SPDFFEJOHTPGUIF $)*$POGFSFODFPO)VNBO'BDUPSTJO$PNQVUJOH4ZTUFNT QQ )POPSBCMF.FOUJPO νϟοτϘοτͷಡΈ͢͞ΛධՁͯ͠Β͏ ʙ
ٕज़։ൃఔ ࣄྫ ධՁը໘ͷઃܭͰධՁ͕มΘΔ 4BOUIBOBN 4 ,BSEVOJ " 4IBJLI 4
"QSJM 4UVEZJOHUIFFGGFDUTPGDPHOJUJWFCJBTFTJOFWBMVBUJPOPGDPOWFSTBUJPOBMBHFOUT*O 1SPDFFEJOHTPGUIF $)*$POGFSFODFPO)VNBO'BDUPSTJO$PNQVUJOH4ZTUFNT QQ )POPSBCMF.FOUJPO νϟοτϘοτͷಡΈ͢͞ΛධՁͯ͠Β͏ ʙ
ٕज़։ൃఔ ࣄྫ ΞϯΧϦϯάޮՌ 2ΑΓଟ͍ʁ ΑΓগͳ͍ 2͡Ό͍͋ͭ͘ʁ 80 2͍ͭ͘ʁ 60 60
υοτԿݸʁ
·ͱΊʹม͑ͯ ʁʁʁʮਓඞͣؒҧ͑Δɺͬͯ͜ͱͰ͠ΐʯ ü ਓɺؒҧ͑ͳͯ͘ɺΫηΛ͍࣋ͬͯΔɻ ʁʁʁʮೝόΠΞεͬͯҩྍ҆શͷͳ͠Ͱ͠ΐʯ ü ҩྍ҆શͱ΄΅ ແԑͷΞϓϦέʔγϣϯ։ൃͰ͋ͬͯɺೝόΠΞε ͱແԑͰͳ͍Մೳੑ͕͋Δɻ ʁʁʁʮػցͰܭଌͨ͠σʔλΛࣗಈసૹ͢Ε͍͍͚ͩͰ͠ΐʯ
ü ਓ͕ೖྗͤ͟ΔΛಘͳ͍ओ؍త࣭తਓؒͷೝɾ͕֮ඞཁͳσʔλͷ ߹ɺࠓޙਓʹΑΔೖྗଓ͘ɻ ʁʁʁʮݴΘΕͳͯ͘ܦݧతʹͬͯΔɻશ෦Ճຯͯ͠࡞͖ͬͯͨɻʯ ü ϊϋʹᛙখԽ͢Δͷ͍ͬͨͳ͍ͷͰֶज़తʹ ڞ༗͍ͯͩ͘͠͞ɻ https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/4152100672, https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/4152100680, https://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/0008308993
ڞಉݚڀऀʹײँਃ্͛͠·͢ ڞಉݚڀऀͷઌੜํʹਂ͓͘ྱΛਃ্͛͠·͢ɻ खֶӃେֶ ຊాलਔ͞Μ ന࠭େ͞Μ ຊൃදͷҰ෦+45ະདྷࣾձࣄۀɺ/&%0ɺՊݚඅͷࢧԉΛड͚͍ͯ·͢ɻ