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Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

Allen Downey
October 29, 2020
Programming
1
140

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

An introduction to Bayesian statistics, presented at ODSC West 2020.

Allen Downey

October 29, 2020
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Transcript

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  5. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bayes%27_Theorem_MMB_01.jpg

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  8. • •

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  15. 01_cookie.ipynb

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  17. Hypotheses Probabilities Bowl 1 0.6 Bowl 2 0.4

  18. unnorm = prior * likelihood prob_data = unnorm.sum() posterior =

    unnorm / prob_data
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  20. 01_cookie.ipynb

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  27. 02_euro.ipynb

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  36. 02_euro.ipynb

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  41. • • •

  42. 02_euro.ipynb

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  51. CC BY-SA 3.0, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5709790

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  55. 03_bandit.ipynb

  56. 03_bandit.ipynb

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  63. 03_bandit.ipynb

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  67. thinkbayes.com

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  69. thinkstats2.com

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  71. [email protected]/blog github website twitter email blog

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