$30 off During Our Annual Pro Sale. View Details »

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

Avatar for Allen Downey Allen Downey
October 29, 2020
Programming
1
150

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

An introduction to Bayesian statistics, presented at ODSC West 2020.

Avatar for Allen Downey

Allen Downey

October 29, 2020
Tweet

More Decks by Allen Downey

See All by Allen Downey
Area under the receiver operating curve
Avatar for Allen Downey allendowney
0
140

Other Decks in Programming

See All in Programming
全員アーキテクトで挑む、 巨大で高密度なドメインの紐解き方
Avatar for Agata Naomichi agatan
8
18k
非同期処理の迷宮を抜ける: 初学者がつまづく構造的な原因
Avatar for PADAone pd1xx
1
570
Google Antigravity and Vibe Coding: Agentic Development Guide
Avatar for MIKIO KUBO mickey_kubo
2
130
AIコーディングエージェント（skywork）
Avatar for kondai kondai24
0
110
Reactive Thinking with Signals and the new Resource API
Avatar for Manfred Steyer manfredsteyer
PRO
0
160
Querying Design System デザインシステムの意思決定を支える構造検索
Avatar for ikuma-t ikumatadokoro
1
1.2k
[SF Ruby Conf 2025] Rails X
Avatar for Vladimir Dementyev palkan
0
440
Herb to ReActionView: A New Foundation for the View Layer @ San Francisco Ruby Conference 2025
Avatar for Marco Roth marcoroth
0
240
ハイパーメディア駆動アプリケーションとIslandアーキテクチャ: htmxによるWebアプリケーション開発と動的UIの局所的適用
Avatar for Ryota Nakamura nowaki28
0
330
関数の挙動書き換える
Avatar for takato fukui takatofukui
4
770
tsgolintはいかにしてtypescript-goの非公開APIを呼び出しているのか
Avatar for syumai syumai
5
1.1k
Integrating WordPress and Symfony
Avatar for Alexandre Salomé alexandresalome
0
120

Featured

See All Featured
How to train your dragon (web standard)
Avatar for Monica Dinculescu notwaldorf
97
6.4k
YesSQL, Process and Tooling at Scale
Avatar for Rocio Delgado rocio
174
15k
10 Git Anti Patterns You Should be Aware of
Avatar for Lemi Orhan Ergin lemiorhan
PRO
659
61k
How To Stay Up To Date on Web Technology
Avatar for Chris Coyier chriscoyier
791
250k
Art, The Web, and Tiny UX
Avatar for Lynn Fisher lynnandtonic
303
21k
JavaScript: Past, Present, and Future - NDC Porto 2020
Avatar for David Neal reverentgeek
52
5.7k
We Have a Design System, Now What?
Avatar for Morgane Peng morganepeng
54
7.9k
The Hidden Cost of Media on the Web [PixelPalooza 2025]
Avatar for Tammy Everts tammyeverts
1
75
Helping Users Find Their Own Way: Creating Modern Search Experiences
Avatar for Dan Newman danielanewman
31
3k
It's Worth the Effort
Avatar for 3n 3n
187
29k
Performance Is Good for Brains [We Love Speed 2024]
Avatar for Tammy Everts tammyeverts
12
1.3k
How to Think Like a Performance Engineer
Avatar for Harry Roberts csswizardry
28
2.3k

Transcript

  1. None
  2. None
  3. None
  4. None

  5. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bayes%27_Theorem_MMB_01.jpg

  6. None
  7. None

  8. • •

  9. None
  10. None
  11. None
  12. None
  13. None
  14. None

  15. 01_cookie.ipynb

  16. None

  17. Hypotheses Probabilities Bowl 1 0.6 Bowl 2 0.4

  18. unnorm = prior * likelihood prob_data = unnorm.sum() posterior =

    unnorm / prob_data
  19. None

  20. 01_cookie.ipynb

  21. None
  22. None
  23. None
  24. None
  25. None
  26. None

  27. 02_euro.ipynb

  28. None
  29. None
  30. None
  31. None
  32. None
  33. None
  34. None
  35. None

  36. 02_euro.ipynb

  37. None
  38. None
  39. None
  40. None

  41. • • •

  42. 02_euro.ipynb

  43. None
  44. None
  45. None
  46. None
  47. None
  48. None
  49. None
  50. None

  51. CC BY-SA 3.0, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5709790

  52. None
  53. None
  54. None

  55. 03_bandit.ipynb

  56. 03_bandit.ipynb

  57. None
  58. None
  59. None
  60. None
  61. None
  62. None

  63. 03_bandit.ipynb

  64. None
  65. None
  66. None

  67. thinkbayes.com

  68. None

  69. thinkstats2.com

  70. None

  71. [email protected]/blog github website twitter email blog

  72. None
  73. None
  74. None
  75. None