Upgrade to Pro — share decks privately, control downloads, hide ads and more …

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

Avatar for Allen Downey Allen Downey
October 29, 2020
Programming
1
150

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

An introduction to Bayesian statistics, presented at ODSC West 2020.

Avatar for Allen Downey

Allen Downey

October 29, 2020
Tweet

More Decks by Allen Downey

See All by Allen Downey
Area under the receiver operating curve
Avatar for Allen Downey allendowney
0
140

Other Decks in Programming

See All in Programming
QA x AIエコシステム段階構築作戦
Avatar for Osu osu
0
270
Constant integer division faster than compiler-generated code
Avatar for herumi herumi
2
590
DynamoDBは怖くない！〜テーブル設計の勘所とテスト戦略〜
Avatar for hiroto_0411 hyamazaki
0
200
Understanding Ruby Grammar Through Conflicts
Avatar for yui-knk yui_knk
1
100
AHC051解法紹介
Avatar for eijirou eijirou
0
430
20250808_AIAgent勉強会_ClaudeCodeデータ分析の実運用〜競馬を題材に回収率100%の先を目指すメソッドとは〜
Avatar for Kakeru Sato kkakeru
0
150
decksh - a little language for decks
Avatar for Anthony Starks ajstarks
4
21k
Portapad紹介プレゼンテーション
Avatar for KAKERU gotoumakakeru
1
130
Go製CLIツールをnpmで配布するには
Avatar for syumai syumai
2
1.2k
一人でAIプロダクトを作るための工夫 〜技術選定・開発プロセス編〜 / I want AI to work harder
Avatar for r-kagaya rkaga
12
2.5k
技術的負債で信頼性が限界だったWordPress運用をShifterで完全復活させた話
Avatar for adachi.ryo rvirus0817
1
1.5k
『リコリス・リコイル』に学ぶ！！ 〜キャリア戦略における計画的偶発性理論と変わる勇気の重要性〜
Avatar for わんこ(Wanko_IT) wanko_it
1
490

Featured

See All Featured
How to Create Impact in a Changing Tech Landscape [PerfNow 2023]
Avatar for Tammy Everts tammyeverts
53
2.9k
Code Reviewing Like a Champion
Avatar for maltzj maltzj
524
40k
Site-Speed That Sticks
Avatar for Harry Roberts csswizardry
10
770
Making Projects Easy
Avatar for Brett Harned brettharned
117
6.3k
個人開発の失敗を避けるイケてる考え方 / tips for indie hackers
Avatar for panda_program panda_program
110
19k
A Modern Web Designer's Workflow
Avatar for Chris Coyier chriscoyier
695
190k
Designing for humans not robots
Avatar for Tammie Lister tammielis
253
25k
Reflections from 52 weeks, 52 projects
Avatar for Jefferson Lam jeffersonlam
351
21k
The Power of CSS Pseudo Elements
Avatar for Geoffrey Crofte geoffreycrofte
77
5.9k
The Pragmatic Product Professional
Avatar for Laura Van Doore lauravandoore
36
6.8k
Building Better People: How to give real-time feedback that sticks.
Avatar for Will Jessup wjessup
367
19k
Why You Should Never Use an ORM
Avatar for John Nunemaker jnunemaker
PRO
58
9.5k

Transcript

  1. None
  2. None
  3. None
  4. None

  5. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bayes%27_Theorem_MMB_01.jpg

  6. None
  7. None

  8. • •

  9. None
  10. None
  11. None
  12. None
  13. None
  14. None

  15. 01_cookie.ipynb

  16. None

  17. Hypotheses Probabilities Bowl 1 0.6 Bowl 2 0.4

  18. unnorm = prior * likelihood prob_data = unnorm.sum() posterior =

    unnorm / prob_data
  19. None

  20. 01_cookie.ipynb

  21. None
  22. None
  23. None
  24. None
  25. None
  26. None

  27. 02_euro.ipynb

  28. None
  29. None
  30. None
  31. None
  32. None
  33. None
  34. None
  35. None

  36. 02_euro.ipynb

  37. None
  38. None
  39. None
  40. None

  41. • • •

  42. 02_euro.ipynb

  43. None
  44. None
  45. None
  46. None
  47. None
  48. None
  49. None
  50. None

  51. CC BY-SA 3.0, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5709790

  52. None
  53. None
  54. None

  55. 03_bandit.ipynb

  56. 03_bandit.ipynb

  57. None
  58. None
  59. None
  60. None
  61. None
  62. None

  63. 03_bandit.ipynb

  64. None
  65. None
  66. None

  67. thinkbayes.com

  68. None

  69. thinkstats2.com

  70. None

  71. [email protected]/blog github website twitter email blog

  72. None
  73. None
  74. None
  75. None