Upgrade to Pro — share decks privately, control downloads, hide ads and more …

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

Avatar for Allen Downey Allen Downey
October 29, 2020
Programming
170
1

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

An introduction to Bayesian statistics, presented at ODSC West 2020.

Avatar for Allen Downey

Allen Downey

October 29, 2020

More Decks by Allen Downey

See All by Allen Downey
Area under the receiver operating curve
Avatar for Allen Downey allendowney
0
160

Other Decks in Programming

See All in Programming
ITヒヤリハットを整理してみた ～ライフサイクルと原因から考える再発防止策～
Avatar for kouki.miura koukimiura
1
110
Terraform標準の組織で AWS CDKをどう使うか
Avatar for mu7889yoon / Yuta Nakamura mu7889yoon
0
270
【やさしく解説 設計編 #0】DDDのコード、読めるのに分からない人へ
Avatar for HideyukiKitao panda728
PRO
2
270
JAWS-UG横浜 #102 AWSサ終供養LT会 成仏できない AWS サービスたち 〜本日、三体供養します〜
Avatar for maroon1st maroon1st
0
210
AI駆動開発を妨げる技術的負債の解消アプローチ / ai-refactoring-approach
Avatar for MinoDriven minodriven
17
9.1k
継続モナドとリアクティブプログラミング
Avatar for ゆきくらげ yukikurage
3
610
エンジニア向け会社紹介/Findy Company Profile
Avatar for Findy findyinc
6
360k
act2-costs.pdf
Avatar for Sumedh Bala sumedhbala
0
110
AIキャラアプリkaiwaの低遅延音声通話基盤をどう作ったか - AWS Gravitonで支える低遅延・低コストAI Agent基盤
Avatar for 最上土川 mogamit
0
170
Haskell/Servantを通してWebミドルウェアを捉え直す
Avatar for pizzacat83 pizzacat83
1
580
音楽のための関数型プログラミング言語mimiumにおける多段階計算の活用
Avatar for Tomoya Matsuura tomoyanonymous
1
330
PHP に部分適用が来るぞ！……ところで何それ？おいしいの？ #phpcon / phpcon-2026
Avatar for shogogg shogogg
0
220

Featured

See All Featured
Dealing with People You Can't Stand - Big Design 2015
Avatar for Cassini Nazir cassininazir
367
27k
Gemini Prompt Engineering: Practical Techniques for Tangible AI Outcomes
Avatar for Mfonobong Umondia mfonobong
2
460
The Art of Delivering Value - GDevCon NA Keynote
Avatar for David Neal reverentgeek
16
2k
Highjacked: Video Game Concept Design
Avatar for Ryan Kendrick rkendrick25
PRO
1
410
Why Your Marketing Sucks and What You Can Do About It - Sophie Logan
Avatar for Sophie Logan marketingsoph
0
280
How STYLIGHT went responsive
Avatar for nonsquared nonsquared
100
6.2k
Scaling GitHub
Avatar for Zach Holman holman
464
140k
Joys of Absence: A Defence of Solitary Play
Avatar for Sebastian Deterding codingconduct
1
410
I Don’t Have Time: Getting Over the Fear to Launch Your Podcast
Avatar for Joe Casabona jcasabona
34
2.8k
The Myth of the Modular Monolith - Day 2 Keynote - Rails World 2024
Avatar for Eileen M. Uchitelle eileencodes
28
3.6k
Lightning Talk: Beautiful Slides for Beginners
Avatar for Ines Montani inesmontani
PRO
2
610
HDC tutorial
Avatar for Michiel Stock michielstock
2
750

Transcript

  1. None
  2. None
  3. None
  4. None

  5. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bayes%27_Theorem_MMB_01.jpg

  6. None
  7. None

  8. • •

  9. None
  10. None
  11. None
  12. None
  13. None
  14. None

  15. 01_cookie.ipynb

  16. None

  17. Hypotheses Probabilities Bowl 1 0.6 Bowl 2 0.4

  18. unnorm = prior * likelihood prob_data = unnorm.sum() posterior =

    unnorm / prob_data
  19. None

  20. 01_cookie.ipynb

  21. None
  22. None
  23. None
  24. None
  25. None
  26. None

  27. 02_euro.ipynb

  28. None
  29. None
  30. None
  31. None
  32. None
  33. None
  34. None
  35. None

  36. 02_euro.ipynb

  37. None
  38. None
  39. None
  40. None

  41. • • •

  42. 02_euro.ipynb

  43. None
  44. None
  45. None
  46. None
  47. None
  48. None
  49. None
  50. None

  51. CC BY-SA 3.0, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5709790

  52. None
  53. None
  54. None

  55. 03_bandit.ipynb

  56. 03_bandit.ipynb

  57. None
  58. None
  59. None
  60. None
  61. None
  62. None

  63. 03_bandit.ipynb

  64. None
  65. None
  66. None

  67. thinkbayes.com

  68. None

  69. thinkstats2.com

  70. None

  71. [email protected]/blog github website twitter email blog

  72. None
  73. None
  74. None
  75. None