Upgrade to Pro — share decks privately, control downloads, hide ads and more …

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

Allen Downey
October 29, 2020
Programming
1
140

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

An introduction to Bayesian statistics, presented at ODSC West 2020.

Allen Downey

October 29, 2020
Tweet

More Decks by Allen Downey

See All by Allen Downey
Area under the receiver operating curve
allendowney
0
130

Other Decks in Programming

See All in Programming
KubeCon NA 2024の全DB関連セッションを紹介
nnaka2992
0
110
KMP와 kotlinx.rpc로 서버와 클라이언트 동기화
kwakeuijin
0
290
責務を分離するための例外設計 - PHPカンファレンス 2024
kajitack
9
2.3k
Findy Team+ Awardを受賞したかった！ベストプラクティス応募内容をふりかえり、開発生産性向上もふりかえる / Findy Team Plus Award BestPractice and DPE Retrospective 2024
honyanya
0
140
QA環境で誰でも自由自在に現在時刻を操って検証できるようにした話
kalibora
1
130
EC2からECSへ 念願のコンテナ移行と巨大レガシーPHPアプリケーションの再構築
sumiyae
3
570
htmxって知っていますか？次世代のHTML
hiro_ghap1
0
410
CQRS+ES の力を使って効果を感じる / Feel the effects of using the power of CQRS+ES
seike460
PRO
0
230
オニオンアーキテクチャを使って、 Unityと.NETでコードを共有する
soi013
0
360
PHPカンファレンス 2024｜共創を加速するための若手の技術挑戦
weddingpark
0
120
Внедряем бюджетирование, или Как сделать хорошо?
lamodatech
0
910
ATDDで素早く安定した デリバリを実現しよう！
tonnsama
1
1.5k

Featured

See All Featured
What's in a price? How to price your products and services
michaelherold
244
12k
Reflections from 52 weeks, 52 projects
jeffersonlam
348
20k
The Art of Programming - Codeland 2020
erikaheidi
53
13k
Music & Morning Musume
bryan
46
6.3k
A Philosophy of Restraint
colly
203
16k
A Modern Web Designer's Workflow
chriscoyier
693
190k
Building an army of robots
kneath
302
44k
Become a Pro
speakerdeck
PRO
26
5.1k
JavaScript: Past, Present, and Future - NDC Porto 2020
reverentgeek
47
5.1k
Agile that works and the tools we love
rasmusluckow
328
21k
YesSQL, Process and Tooling at Scale
rocio
170
14k
Building Flexible Design Systems
yeseniaperezcruz
328
38k

Transcript

  1. None
  2. None
  3. None
  4. None

  5. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bayes%27_Theorem_MMB_01.jpg

  6. None
  7. None

  8. • •

  9. None
  10. None
  11. None
  12. None
  13. None
  14. None

  15. 01_cookie.ipynb

  16. None

  17. Hypotheses Probabilities Bowl 1 0.6 Bowl 2 0.4

  18. unnorm = prior * likelihood prob_data = unnorm.sum() posterior =

    unnorm / prob_data
  19. None

  20. 01_cookie.ipynb

  21. None
  22. None
  23. None
  24. None
  25. None
  26. None

  27. 02_euro.ipynb

  28. None
  29. None
  30. None
  31. None
  32. None
  33. None
  34. None
  35. None

  36. 02_euro.ipynb

  37. None
  38. None
  39. None
  40. None

  41. • • •

  42. 02_euro.ipynb

  43. None
  44. None
  45. None
  46. None
  47. None
  48. None
  49. None
  50. None

  51. CC BY-SA 3.0, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5709790

  52. None
  53. None
  54. None

  55. 03_bandit.ipynb

  56. 03_bandit.ipynb

  57. None
  58. None
  59. None
  60. None
  61. None
  62. None

  63. 03_bandit.ipynb

  64. None
  65. None
  66. None

  67. thinkbayes.com

  68. None

  69. thinkstats2.com

  70. None

  71. [email protected]/blog github website twitter email blog

  72. None
  73. None
  74. None
  75. None