Upgrade to Pro — share decks privately, control downloads, hide ads and more …

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

Sponsored · Ship Features Fearlessly Turn features on and off without deploys. Used by thousands of Ruby developers. →
Avatar for Allen Downey Allen Downey
October 29, 2020
Programming
160
1

Bayesian Statistics Made Simple

An introduction to Bayesian statistics, presented at ODSC West 2020.

Avatar for Allen Downey

Allen Downey

October 29, 2020

More Decks by Allen Downey

See All by Allen Downey
Area under the receiver operating curve
Avatar for Allen Downey allendowney
0
150

Other Decks in Programming

See All in Programming
Agentic UI in the Frontend: Architectures with Open Standards @JAX 2026 in Mainz
Avatar for Manfred Steyer manfredsteyer
PRO
0
110
2026-04-15 Spring IO - I Can See Clearly Now
Avatar for Jonatan Ivanov jonatan_ivanov
1
190
エラー処理の温故知新 / history of error handling technic
Avatar for nakaryo ryotanakaya
7
1.9k
検索設計から
推論設計への重心移動と
Recall-First Retrieval
Avatar for po3rin po3rin
5
1.6k
Road to RubyKaigi: Play Hard(ware)
Avatar for makicamel makicamel
1
560
AIと共に生きる技術選定 2026
Avatar for Sugar Sato sgash708
0
130
決定論 vs 確率論：Gemini 3 FlashとTF-IDFを組み合わせた「法規判定エンジン」の構築
Avatar for Shu Kobuchi shukob
0
160
GitHubCopilotCLIをはじめよう.pdf
Avatar for tkym htkym
0
330
HTML-Aware ERB: The Path to Reactive Rendering @ RubyKaigi 2026, Hakodate, Japan
Avatar for Marco Roth marcoroth
0
670
Claude CodeでETLジョブ実行テストを自動化してみた
Avatar for yoshiki kasama yoshikikasama
0
1.2k
【26新卒研修】OpenAPI/Swagger REST API研修
Avatar for ディップ株式会社 dip_tech
PRO
0
150
Augmenting AI with the Power of Jakarta EE
Avatar for ivargrimstad ivargrimstad
0
300

Featured

See All Featured
Navigating the Design Leadership Dip - Product Design Week Design Leaders+ Conference 2024
Avatar for Andy Polaine apolaine
0
300
HU Berlin: Industrial-Strength Natural Language Processing with spaCy and Prodigy
Avatar for Ines Montani inesmontani
PRO
0
370
CoffeeScript is Beautiful & I Never Want to Write Plain JavaScript Again
Avatar for Sam Stephenson sstephenson
162
16k
16th Malabo Montpellier Forum Presentation
Avatar for AKADEMIYA2063 akademiya2063
PRO
0
120
GraphQLの誤解/rethinking-graphql
Avatar for sonatard sonatard
75
12k
From π to Pie charts
Avatar for Rasagy Sharma rasagy
0
180
A Guide to Academic Writing Using Generative AI - A Workshop
Avatar for Kenji Saito ks91
PRO
1
300
The Hidden Cost of Media on the Web [PixelPalooza 2025]
Avatar for Tammy Everts tammyeverts
2
290
State of Search Keynote: SEO is Dead Long Live SEO
Avatar for Ryan Jones ryanjones
0
190
Principles of Awesome APIs and How to Build Them.
Avatar for Keavy McMinn keavy
128
17k
Making the Leap to Tech Lead
Avatar for Ryan Cromwell cromwellryan
135
9.8k
SEO Brein meetup: CTRL+C is not how to scale international SEO
Avatar for Linda Hogenes lindahogenes
1
2.6k

Transcript

  1. None
  2. None
  3. None
  4. None

  5. https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bayes%27_Theorem_MMB_01.jpg

  6. None
  7. None

  8. • •

  9. None
  10. None
  11. None
  12. None
  13. None
  14. None

  15. 01_cookie.ipynb

  16. None

  17. Hypotheses Probabilities Bowl 1 0.6 Bowl 2 0.4

  18. unnorm = prior * likelihood prob_data = unnorm.sum() posterior =

    unnorm / prob_data
  19. None

  20. 01_cookie.ipynb

  21. None
  22. None
  23. None
  24. None
  25. None
  26. None

  27. 02_euro.ipynb

  28. None
  29. None
  30. None
  31. None
  32. None
  33. None
  34. None
  35. None

  36. 02_euro.ipynb

  37. None
  38. None
  39. None
  40. None

  41. • • •

  42. 02_euro.ipynb

  43. None
  44. None
  45. None
  46. None
  47. None
  48. None
  49. None
  50. None

  51. CC BY-SA 3.0, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5709790

  52. None
  53. None
  54. None

  55. 03_bandit.ipynb

  56. 03_bandit.ipynb

  57. None
  58. None
  59. None
  60. None
  61. None
  62. None

  63. 03_bandit.ipynb

  64. None
  65. None
  66. None

  67. thinkbayes.com

  68. None

  69. thinkstats2.com

  70. None

  71. [email protected]/blog github website twitter email blog

  72. None
  73. None
  74. None
  75. None