Upgrade to Pro
— share decks privately, control downloads, hide ads and more …
Speaker Deck
Features
Speaker Deck
PRO
Sign in
Sign up for free
Search
Search
Bayesian Statistics Made Simple
Search
Allen Downey
October 29, 2020
Programming
1
150
Bayesian Statistics Made Simple
An introduction to Bayesian statistics, presented at ODSC West 2020.
Allen Downey
October 29, 2020
Tweet
Share
More Decks by Allen Downey
See All by Allen Downey
Area under the receiver operating curve
allendowney
0
140
Other Decks in Programming
See All in Programming
PT AI без купюр
v0lka
0
190
Javaのルールをねじ曲げろ!禁断の操作とその代償から学ぶメタプログラミング入門 / A Guide to Metaprogramming: Lessons from Forbidden Techniques and Their Price
nrslib
1
190
RubyKaigi Hack Space in Tokyo & 函館最速 "予習" 会 / RubyKaigi Hack Space in Tokyo & The Fastest Briefing of RubyKaigi 2026 in Hakodate
moznion
1
120
TypeScript Language Service Plugin で CSS Modules の開発体験を改善する
mizdra
PRO
3
2.4k
Rethinking Data Access: The New httpResource in Angular
manfredsteyer
PRO
0
220
Interface vs Types ~型推論が過多推論~
hirokiomote
1
230
TypeScriptのmoduleオプションを改めて整理する
bicstone
4
420
AIにコードを生成するコードを作らせて、再現性を担保しよう! / Let AI generate code to ensure reproducibility
yamachu
7
6k
抽象データ型について学んだ
ryounasso
0
210
イベントストーミングから始めるドメイン駆動設計
jgeem
2
290
Doma で目指す ORM 最適解
nakamura_to
1
160
CQRS/ESのクラスとシステムフロー ~ RailsでフルスクラッチでCQRSESを組んで みたことから得た学び~
suzukimar
0
190
Featured
See All Featured
XXLCSS - How to scale CSS and keep your sanity
sugarenia
248
1.3M
4 Signs Your Business is Dying
shpigford
183
22k
ピンチをチャンスに:未来をつくるプロダクトロードマップ #pmconf2020
aki_iinuma
123
52k
We Have a Design System, Now What?
morganepeng
52
7.6k
Let's Do A Bunch of Simple Stuff to Make Websites Faster
chriscoyier
507
140k
Optimising Largest Contentful Paint
csswizardry
37
3.3k
Agile that works and the tools we love
rasmusluckow
329
21k
A Modern Web Designer's Workflow
chriscoyier
693
190k
How GitHub (no longer) Works
holman
314
140k
Understanding Cognitive Biases in Performance Measurement
bluesmoon
29
1.7k
Stop Working from a Prison Cell
hatefulcrawdad
269
20k
Evolution of real-time – Irina Nazarova, EuRuKo, 2024
irinanazarova
8
750
Transcript
None
None
None
None
https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bayes%27_Theorem_MMB_01.jpg
None
None
• •
None
None
None
None
None
None
01_cookie.ipynb
None
Hypotheses Probabilities Bowl 1 0.6 Bowl 2 0.4
unnorm = prior * likelihood prob_data = unnorm.sum() posterior =
unnorm / prob_data
None
01_cookie.ipynb
None
None
None
None
None
None
02_euro.ipynb
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
02_euro.ipynb
None
None
None
None
• • •
02_euro.ipynb
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
None
CC BY-SA 3.0, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=5709790
None
None
None
03_bandit.ipynb
03_bandit.ipynb
None
None
None
None
None
None
03_bandit.ipynb
None
None
None
thinkbayes.com
None
thinkstats2.com
None
[email protected]
/blog github website twitter email blog
None
None
None
None