t ɺฏۉ͕ y(x, w) Ͱ͋ΔҎԼͷΨε ʹै͏ͱ͢Δ (β−1 = σ2) p(t|x, w, β) = N(t|y(x, w), β−1) (1.60) ▶ ܇࿅σʔλ (x, t) Λ༻͍ͯɺҎԼͷؔΛ࠷େʹ͢ΔΑ͏ͳύ ϥϝʔλ w, β ΛٻΊΔ p(t|x, w, β) = N ∏ n=1 N(tn |y(xn , w), β−1) (1.61) ▶ ࣮ࡍͷܭࢉͰɺҎԼͷରΛ࠷େʹ͢ΔΑ͏ͳ w, β Λٻ ΊΔ ln p(t|x, w, β) = − β 2 N ∑ n=1 (y(xn , w) − tn )2 + N 2 ln β − N 2 ln(2π) (1.62) 25 / 55