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Run in periodと決定木と生存時間解析(MERC勉強会)

Shuntaro Sato
December 18, 2020

Run in periodと決定木と生存時間解析(MERC勉強会)

Shuntaro Sato

December 18, 2020
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    ੜଘ࣌ؒղੳ $0.1"445SJBM 3JWBSPYBCBOXJUIPSXJUIPVU"TQJSJO JO4UBCMF$BSEJPWBTDVMBS%JTFBTF &JLFMCPPN+8 $POOPMMZ4+ #PTDI+ %BHFOBJT(3 )BSU 3( 4IFTUBLPWTLB0 FUBM3JWBSPYBCBOXJUIPSXJUIPVU "TQJSJOJO4UBCMF$BSEJPWBTDVMBS%JTFBTF/&OHM+.FE 0DU  r
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    ໨త 1 ҆ఆͨ͠ΞςϩʔϜੑ݂؅࣬ױطԟױऀ * SJWBSPYBCBOͱBTQJSJOซ༻ɾSJWBSPYBCBO୯ಠ౤༩ $ BTQJSJO౤༩ 0 ෳ߹ΤϯυϙΠϯτʢ$7ࢮɼ೴ଔதɼ.*ʣ
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  5. 3VOJO  7 ϥϯμϜ 
 ׂ෇ ؍࡯ظؒ #BEBEIFSFODFTJEFF f f

    FDU #JBTͷܰݮ (PPEBEIFSFODF 3VOJOQFSJPE (PPEBEIFSFODF ୤མ ղੳର৅ूஂ
  6. 4VCTUVEZ 8 5IFQVSQPTFPGUIJTTUVEZXBTUPJEFOUJGZTVCTFUTPGQBUJFOUTBUIJHIFS SJTLPGSFDVSSFOUWBTDVMBSFWFOUT XIJDINBZIFMQGPDVTUIFVTFPG SJWBSPYBCBOBOEBTQJSJOUIFSBQZ ໨త 1 BTQJSJOΛ౤༩͍ͯ͠Δױऀˡͳͥʁ 1

    3&"$)SJTLTDPSFʹؚ·ΕΔม਺ 0 ෳ߹ΤϯυϙΠϯτ 
 ʢ$7ࢮɼ೴ଔதɼ.*ɼ 
 ɹॏཁͳ݂؅Ξ΢τΧϜˡͳͥʁʣ ٸੑ࢛ࢶڏ݂ɾ݂؅੾அ IUUQTPQFOCPYTUBUOFUFOUSZDRSPBENBQ
  7. 3&"$)SJTLTDPSF 10 3FEVDUJPOPG"UIFSPUISPNCPTJTGPS$POUJOVFE)FBMUI w TFY w BHF w TNPLJOH w

    EJBCFUFT w MPXCPEZNBTTJOEFY w OVNCFSPGWBTDVMBSCFETB f f FDUFE w $7FWFOUJOUIFQBTUZFBS w IFBSUGBJMVSF )'  w BUSJBM f i CSJMMBUJPO w TUBJOUIFSBQZ w BTQJSJOUIFSBQZ w F('3 w SFHJPOT w TFY w BHF w TNPLJOH w EJBCFUFT w MPXCPEZNBTTJOEFY w OVNCFSPGWBTDVMBSCFETB f f FDUFE w $7FWFOUJOUIFQBTUZFBS w IFBSUGBJMVSF )'  w BUSJBM f i CSJMMBUJPO w MJQJEMPXFSJOHUIFSBQZ w BOZBOUJQMBUFMFUUIFSBQZVTF w F('3 w SFHJPOT 0SJHJOBMTDPSF .PEJ f i FETDPSF
  8. ܾఆ໦ͷಛ௃ 15 w ໨తม਺Λ࣭తσʔλͱ͢Δ෼ྨ໰୊ w ϩδεςΟοΫճؼϞσϧͱҟͳΓɼ 
 ʮ୯७ͳنଇʯʹجͮ͘ํ๏Ͱ͋ΔͨΊɼ݁Ռͷ௚ײతͳཧղ΍ղऍ͕༰қ w ໨తม਺ͷ༧ଌΑΓ΋ɼϦεΫͷ૚ผԽʹয఺Λ౰ͯΔɽ

    w ϦεΫͷҟͳΔ෦෼ूஂΛൃݟ͢Δ͜ͱ͕Ͱ͖Δ w ෼ྨ໦ɼճؼ໦ͱ΋ݺ͹ΕΔ ܾఆ໦ͷઆ໌͸ɼ 
 ʰྛݡҰɼԼฏӳणʢʣɼ3ͰֶͿ౷ܭతσʔλղੳɼߨஊࣾɽʱ 
 Λࢀߟʹͨ͠
  9. ࣝผม਺ʢ*OEJDBUPSʣ 16 ม਺Yͷ஋͸࣮਺VΑΓখ͍͞ نଇ I{x < u}   5SVF

    'BMTF ࣝผม਺ʢ*OEJDBUPSʣ ܾఆ໦ نଇΛෳ਺૊Έ߹Θͤͯ 
 ඪຊΛϦεΫͷҟͳΔूஂʹ෼ׂ͢Δ
  10. ҟ࣭ੑ 17   ϦεΫࠩ ѱੑͷ 
 ϦεΫ  

       ϦεΫࠩ ѱੑͷ 
 ϦεΫ    Vͷํ͕ϦεΫΛ 
 ͸͖ͬΓ෼͚͍ͯΔ Vͷํ͕ɼ 
 ΑΓҟ࣭Ͱ͋Δ
  11. 0QFO  f i YFE DMPTFEDPIPSU 22 $PIPSU 0QFODPIPSU $PIPSU

    $MPTFEDPIPSU $PIPSU 'JYFEDPIPSU ։์ தؒ ด࠯ ର৅ 
 ࣬ױ 
 ൃ঱ ର৅ 
 ࣬ױ 
 ൃ঱ $FOTPSJOH -PTTUPGPMMPXVQ *ODJEFODFQSPQPSUJPOɿº *ODJEFODFSBUFɿ˓ $FOTPSJOH͕ 
 গͳ͚Ε͹ൃੜׂ߹΋ଥ౰ *ODJEFODFQSPQPSUJPOɿ˚ *ODJEFODFSBUFɿ˓ *ODJEFODFQSPQPSUJPOɿ˓ *ODJEFODFSBUFɿ˓
  12. Πϕϯτͷൃੜͷࢦඪͷ·ͱΊʢӳޠϕʔεʣ 23 *ODJEFODFSBUF *ODJEFODFQSPQPSUJPO 4VSWJWBMQSPQPSUJPO 4VSWJWBMSBUF $VNVMBUJWFJODJEFODF   ,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE

    ୯Ґ͕ͳ͍ ୯Ґʹ࣌ؒΛؚΉ 1PSUB .JRVFM FE"EJDUJPOBSZPGFQJEFNJPMPHZ0YGPSEVOJWFSTJUZQSFTT  $MPTFEDPIPSU 'JYFEDPIPSU 0QFODPIPSU $FOTPSJOHͳ͚Ε͹ $FOTPSJOHΛؚΊͯɼ$VNVMBUJWFJODJEFODFΛܭࢉ͢Δํ๏
  13. ,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE  24 ඃݧऀࣝผίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ   ࢮ๢ 

     ࢮ๢   ଧͪ੾Γ   ࢮ๢   ࢮ๢ ඃݧऀࣝผίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ   ࢮ๢   ࢮ๢   ଧͪ੾Γ   ࢮ๢   ࢮ๢ ฒͼସ͑
  14. ,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE  25 ඃݧऀࣝผίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFSBUSJTL   ࢮ๢

       ࢮ๢    ଧͪ੾Γ    ࢮ๢    ࢮ๢  ೔໨ʹ/P͸ࢮ๢ˠ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ͸ɼਓ͕ࢮ๢ͷϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͨ /VNCFSBUSJTLɿΠϕϯτͷϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯΔਓ਺
  15. ,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE  26 ೚ҙͷ࣌ؒ·ͰʹΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠ਓͷ਺Λ਺͑Δ ඃݧऀࣝผ 
 ίʔυ ੜଘ ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ

    /VNCFS BUSJTL ˠ ੜଘ਺   ࢮ๢  ೔ͷ௚લ·ͰਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ 
 ೔ʹਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠    ࢮ๢  ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ  ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ ೔ʹ  ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠       ଧͪ੾Γ  ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ  ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ 
 ೔ʹ  ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠       ࢮ๢  ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ  ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ 
 ೔ʹ  ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠       ࢮ๢  ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ  ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ 
 ೔ʹ  ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠    
  16. ,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE  27 ೚ҙͷ࣌ؒ·ͰʹΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠ਓͷ਺Λ਺͑Δ ඃݧऀࣝผ 
 ίʔυ ੜଘ ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ

    /VNCFS BUSJTL ˠ ੜଘ਺   ࢮ๢  ೔ͷ௚લ·ͰਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ 
 ೔ʹਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠    ࢮ๢  ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ  ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ ೔ʹ  ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠    ଧͪ੾Γ  ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ  ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ 
 ೔ʹ  ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠    ࢮ๢  ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ  ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ 
 ೔ʹ  ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠    ࢮ๢  ೔ͷ௚લ·Ͱ  ਓϦεΫʹ͞Β͞Ε͍ͯͯɼ 
 ೔ʹ  ਓΠϕϯτΛىͨ͜͠ 
  17. ,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE  28 ࣌఺͝ͱͷੜଘׂ߹ʢ৚݅෇͖֬཰ʣΛܭࢉ͢Δ ඃݧऀࣝผ 
 ίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS

    BUSJTL ੜଘ਺ ੜଘׂ߹   ࢮ๢      ࢮ๢     ଧͪ੾Γ     ࢮ๢     ࢮ๢  
  18. ,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE  29 ࣌఺͝ͱͷੜଘׂ߹ʢ৚݅෇͖֬཰ʣΛܭࢉ͢Δ ඃݧऀࣝผ 
 ίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS

    BUSJTL ੜଘ਺ ੜଘׂ߹   ࢮ๢      ࢮ๢      ଧͪ੾Γ      ࢮ๢      ࢮ๢   
  19. ,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE  30 ࣌఺͝ͱͷ$VNVMBUJWFTVSWJWBMΛٻΊΔ ඃݧऀࣝผ 
 ίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS

    BUSJTL ੜଘ਺ ੜଘׂ߹ $VNVMBUJWFTVSWJWBM 4VSWJWBMSBUF 4VSWJWBMQSPQPSUJPO4VSWJWBMGVODUJPO ೔·Ͱ    ࢮ๢    º   ࢮ๢    ºº   ଧͪ੾Γ    ººº      ࢮ๢    ººº  º      ࢮ๢    ººº  º  º    ,BQMBO.FJFSFTUJNBUPS
  20. ,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE  31 ࣌఺͝ͱͷ$VNVMBUJWFTVSWJWBMΛٻΊΔ ඃݧऀࣝผ 
 ίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS

    BUSJTL ੜଘ਺ ੜଘׂ߹ $VNVMBUJWFTVSWJWBM 4VSWJWBMSBUF 4VSWJWBMQSPQPSUJPO4VSWJWBMGVODUJPO ೔·Ͱ    ࢮ๢    º   ࢮ๢    ºº   ଧͪ੾Γ    ººº   ࢮ๢    ºººº   ࢮ๢    ººººº ,BQMBO.FJFSFTUJNBUPS
  21. ,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE  32 ࣌఺͝ͱͷ$VNVMBUJWFJODJEFODFΛٻΊΔ ඃݧऀࣝผ 
 ίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS

    BUSJTL ੜଘ਺ ੜଘׂ߹ $VNVMBUJWF TVSWJWBM $VNVMBUJWFJODJEFODF $VNVMBUJWFTVSWJWBM ೔·Ͱ     ࢮ๢        ࢮ๢       ଧͪ੾Γ       ࢮ๢       ࢮ๢     ,BQMBO.FJFSFTUJNBUPS
  22. ,BQMBO.FJFSNFUIPE  33 ࣌఺͝ͱͷ$VNVMBUJWFJODJEFODFΛٻΊΔ ඃݧऀࣝผ 
 ίʔυ ੜଘ࣌ؒ Πϕϯτ /VNCFS

    BUSJTL ੜଘ਺ ੜଘׂ߹ $VNVMBUJWF TVSWJWBM $VNVMBUJWFJODJEFODF $VNVMBUJWFTVSWJWBM ೔·Ͱ     ࢮ๢        ࢮ๢        ଧͪ੾Γ        ࢮ๢        ࢮ๢      ,BQMBO.FJFSFTUJNBUPS