Win ratio その2

Win ratioの問題点と、それに対してどのように考えて、使うのか、一つの例を解説しています。

Transcript

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 ࣏ྍ܈ͷউͭ֬཰͕ෛ͚Δ֬཰ΑΓେ͖ ͍͜ͱΛࣔ͢
12. ޡղᶄɿউͭ͜ͱ͸ɺ͢ͳΘͪྟচతʹ༗ҙٛͰ͋Δ͜ͱΛࣔ͢ 12 "KVGP
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    w ൃੜ೔͕Θ͔ͣʹ୹͍͚ͩ
    w 8JO
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13. ޡղᶅɿױऀใࠂΞ΢τΧϜ͸ɺ83ʹ͓͍ͯద੾ʹධՁͰ͖͍ͯΔ 13 "KVGP
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14. ޡղᶆɿ֤ϖΞͷϦεΫϓϩϑΝΠϧ͸όϥϯεͱΕ͍ͯΔ 14 5IF
    VONBUDIFE
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    º
    /$ ࡀͷঁੑͱࡀͷஉੑͱ͍ͬͨϖΞ΋Ͱ͖Δ 
 ɹˠϦεΫ͸ҧ͏ 4USBUJ fi FE
    8JO
    SBUJP
    BQQSPBDI ط஌ͷϦεΫҼࢠͰ૚Λ࡞Γɺ 
 ͦͷதͰVONBUDIFE
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    ʣ ࣬ױײडੑҨ఻ࢠͳ͠ʢH
    
    ʣ 83H 83H TUSBUJ fi FE
    83
15. ޡղᶇɿҾ͖෼͚͸݁࿦ʹӨڹ͠ͳ͍ 15 Ҿ͖෼͚Λແࢹ͢Δͱɺ࣏ྍޮՌͷաେධՁʹͭͳ͕Δ 8JO
    PEETʢҾ͖෼͚΋ߟྀ͢Δʣ 8JOT
    JO
    USFBUNFU
    HSPVQ + 1/2
    PG
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    PG
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    UJFT "KVGP
    &[JNBNBLB
    /BZBL
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    3
    
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    PG
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    JO
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    +"$$
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    rͷද
16. ྟচࢼݧʹ͓͍ͯ8JO
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    UP
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    rͷਤΛҰ෦೔ຊޠԽ 8JO
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    w Ҿ͖෼͚͕ͳ͍ϖΞʹ͓͍ͯɺ5&&3࣏ྍ܈ͷ֬཰͸ ߴ͍ Ҿ͖෼͚Λແࢹ͢Δ͜ͱ͸ɺͲͷΑ͏ͳ݁࿦Λಋ͔͘ʁ
    w Ҿ͖෼͚ϖΞ͸Ͱ͋Δɻ͜ΕΒΛແࢹ͢Δ͜ͱ ͸ޮՌͷେ͖͞ͷա৒ਪఆʹͭͳ͕Δ ͲͷΤϯυϙΠϯτ͕༗ҙͳ8JO
    SBUJPʹد༩͔ͨ͠ʁ
    w ࣏ྍޮՌ͸ɺױऀใࠂΞ΢τΧϜʢ,$$2
    TDPSFʣʹ ΑͬͯͷΈઆ໌͞ΕΔ ͜ͷݚڀ͸ͲͷΑ͏ʹղऍ͢΂͖͔ʁ
    w ͜ͷඇ໡ݕࢼݧͷ5&&3͕উͬͨͱ͍͏݁Ռ͸ɺ 
 ϋʔυΤϯυϙΠϯτͰ͸ͳ͘ɺױऀใࠂΞ΢τΧϜ ͷ݁ՌͷΈʹجͮ͘΋ͷͰ͋Δ
    w ૯߹తͳΤϏσϯεͷղऍʹ͸ɺϓϥηϘޮՌͷཱূ ΋ඞཁͰ͋Δ
17. 8JO
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    PG
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    8JO
    3BUJP
    JO
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    5SJBMT
    +"$$
    #BTJD
    UP
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    4DJFODF
    rͷ$FOUSBM
    *MMVTUSBUJPOΛҰ෦೔ຊޠԽ 8JO
    PEETͰҾ͖෼͚Λߟྀ
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    PEETʯΛܭࢉ͢Δ ඪ४తͳίϯηϯαεͷ։ൃ ෳ਺ͷεςʔΫϗϧμʔʹΑΔɺෳ߹Τ ϯυϙΠϯτͷߏ੒ཁૉɺ༏ઌॱҐɺଌ ఆఆٛɺ࣌ؒґଘੑͷҙຯʹؔ͢ΔΨΠ υϥΠϯΛ࡞Δ ม਺ͷΞϯόϥϯεʹରͯ͠૚ผղੳ
    ϦεΫҼࢠͷόϥϯε͕ͱΕ͍ͯͳ͍ 
 ࢼݧ΍ඇϥϯμϜԽࢼݧͷ৔߹ɺ 
 ૚ผ8JO
    SBUJP๏Λਪ঑͢Δ ױऀใࠂΞ΢τΧϜ·ͨ͸ 
 ػೳతΞ΢τΧϜͷͨΊʹ໡ݕԽ
    ෳ߹ΤϯυϙΠϯτʹɺ130΍ػೳతΞ ΢τΧϜΛؚΉࢼݧ͸ɺϓϥηϘ·ͨ͸ TIBNΛରরʹ͢΂͖ ֤ߏ੒ཁૉͷ෼ੳ݁ՌͷใࠂΛٛ຿Խ
    w ֤ཁૉͷXJO
    SBUJPΛܭࢉ
    w ϋʔυΤϯυϙΠϯτʹରͯ࣌ؒ͠Λར༻ ͨ͠ղੳ
    w /VNCFS
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    UP
    USFBU
    PS
    IBSN΋ਪఆ ྟচతՁ஋ͱܦࡁతՁ஋Λ૊ΈࠐΉ
    ཧ૝తʹ͸ɺඅ༻ରޮՌධՁ෼ੳΛ͓͜ͳ͏